Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jhonkensy Noel

matchup for Aaron Nola

35th out of 436 (Best 9%)

Aaron Nola

matchup for Jhonkensy Noel

394th out of 567 (Worst 31%)

Strong advantage for Nola

Jhonkensy Noel has a 23.8% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 1.8% lower than Noel's typical expectations, and 5.6% lower than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	23.8%	19.5%	3.8%	5.6%	10.0%	4.4%	41.6%
Noel	-1.8	+0.1	+0.5	+0.9	-1.3	-2.0	+8.1
Nola	-5.6	-2.9	+0.9	-0.7	-3.1	-2.7	+10.7

Jhonkensy Noel is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Noel does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Jhonkensy Noel hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jhonkensy Noel hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Jhonkensy Noel hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

25.2% of Jhonkensy Noel's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.1% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout +8.1% +6.3% 6%

Walk -1.2% -2.8% 53%

In Play -7.0% -3.5% 39%

On Base -7.2% -4.8% 31%

Hit -6.1% -2.0% 14%

Single -4.6% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -4.2% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -0.5%

34.4% of Jhonkensy Noel's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.0% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder 0.0% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -5.9% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer +1.5% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner -3.4% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.3% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +4.0% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter +6.0% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -8.0% -0.4% 3%

Pop up +9.0% -0.7%

35.6% of Jhonkensy Noel's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.3% higher than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -5.7% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.3% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.7% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -10.6% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +11.3% -0.7%

15.4% of Jhonkensy Noel's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%