Matchup Machine

Jhonkensy Noel

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matchup for Domingo German

35th out of 436 (Best 9%)

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Domingo German

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matchup for Jhonkensy Noel

102nd out of 567 (Best 19%)

Leans in favor of German
1

Model Prediction

Jhonkensy Noel has a 27.9% chance of reaching base vs Domingo German, which is 2.3% higher than Noel's typical expectations, and 5.9% lower than batters facing German.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.9%19.9%4.3%4.9%10.7%8.0%29.1%
Noel+2.3+0.6+0.9+0.2-0.6+1.7-4.4
German-5.9-3.1+1.3-0.2-4.2-2.8+7.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Jhonkensy Noel is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Domingo German is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Noel doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Domingo German throws a Curve 36% of the time. Jhonkensy Noel hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Curve (R)
36%
   4-Seam (R)
30%
   Changeup (R)
20%
   Sinker (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

25.2% of Jhonkensy Noel's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.1% higher than the league average. Domingo German strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout +8.1% +2.5% 6%         Walk -1.2% 0.0% 53%         In Play -7.0% -2.5% 39%         On Base -7.2% -3.0% 31%         Hit -6.1% -3.0% 14%         Single -4.6% -1.8% 13%         2B / 3B -4.2% -1.4% 3%         Home Run +2.7% +0.2%

History

Jhonkensy Noel has 2 plate appearances against Domingo German in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.080.000.000.080.041
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-30Groundout8%92%
2024-08-30Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.