Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ezequiel Tovar

matchup for Bryce Miller

101st out of 436 (Best 24%)

Bryce Miller

matchup for Ezequiel Tovar

496th out of 567 (Worst 13%)

Strong advantage for Miller

Ezequiel Tovar has a 25.7% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 3.2% lower than Tovar's typical expectations, and 3.5% lower than batters facing Miller.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	25.7%	22.1%	2.5%	5.7%	14.0%	3.5%	37.7%
Tovar	-3.2	-2.7	-0.8	-0.6	-1.3	-0.5	+9.3
Miller	-3.5	+1.7	+0.2	+1.3	+0.2	-5.2	+7.9

Ezequiel Tovar is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Tovar has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Ezequiel Tovar has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

20%

Sinker (R)

13%

Splitter (R)

10%

8% of Bryce Miller's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Ezequiel Tovar hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

43% of Bryce Miller's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Ezequiel Tovar has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 43%

+28%

High Ride 29%

+19%

Small Break 21%

+13%

Fastball (R) 64%

+10%

17.2% of Ezequiel Tovar's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +4.4% +0.2% 6%

Walk -5.2% -2.5% 39%

In Play +0.8% +2.3% 39%

On Base -6.2% -3.2% 31%

Hit -1.0% -0.7% 14%

Single -1.4% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -1.3% -0.4% 3%

Home Run +1.7% +0.5%

28.5% of Ezequiel Tovar's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.9% lower than the league average. Bryce Miller induces Standard Grounders at a 30.4% rate, which is 4.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.9% -4.0% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.1% +2.0% 14%

Low Screamer -0.2% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner -1.8% +1.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.7% +0.9% 3%

Likely Homer +1.5% -1.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.5% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +5.9% +5.4% 3%

Pop up +1.2% -0.9%

22.7% of Ezequiel Tovar's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 25.8% of batted balls allowed by Bryce Miller are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.0% -2.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.2% -3.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.6% -0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.2% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.6% +1.5%

10.3% of Ezequiel Tovar's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Bryce Miller are hit at this angle, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%