matchup for Kutter Crawford
matchup for Ezequiel Tovar
6
Ezequiel Tovar has a 24.5% chance of reaching base vs Kutter Crawford, which is 5.3% lower than Tovar's typical expectations, and 3.5% lower than batters facing Crawford.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 24.5% | 20.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 12.5% | 3.6% | 29.8% |
| Tovar | -5.3 | -4.7 | -0.2 | -1.2 | -3.3 | -0.6 | +3.3 |
| Crawford | -3.5 | +0.7 | +0.2 | +0.7 | -0.2 | -4.2 | +5.3 |
Ezequiel Tovar is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Kutter Crawford is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Tovar has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Kutter Crawford throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Ezequiel Tovar has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
37%
Cutter (R)
31%
Slider (R)
14%
Kn-Curve (R)
6%
Splitter (R)
5%
13% of Kutter Crawford's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Ezequiel Tovar has a C- grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
13%
+2%
Meatball
8%
+2%
Strong Challenge
6%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+1%
Chaser
7%
+0%
Likely Ball
20%
+0%
Edge Painter
17%
+0%
Weak Challenge
5%
-3%
Non-Competitive
9%
-4%
68% of Kutter Crawford's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 14% higher than the MLB average. Ezequiel Tovar has a D+ grade against this type of pitch from right handers.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Fastball (R)
68%
+14%
Small Break
24%
+13%
Extreme Ride
15%
+11%
Medium Slow Velo
24%
+10%
17.1% of Ezequiel Tovar's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.2% higher than the league average. Kutter Crawford strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
12%
Strikeout
+4.2%
+0.9%
6%
Walk
-5.3%
-0.8%
39%
In Play
+1.0%
-0.1%
39%
On Base
-6.1%
-4.5%
31%
Hit
-0.8%
-3.6%
14%
Single
-1.3%
-2.9%
13%
2B / 3B
-1.2%
-2.4%
3%
Home Run
+1.7%
+1.7%
28.3% of Ezequiel Tovar's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.1% lower than the league average. Kutter Crawford induces Standard Grounders at a 28.3% rate, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.4%
+0.1%
34%
Standard Grounder
-6.1%
-6.1%
7%
Hard Grounder
+0.1%
-1.7%
14%
Low Screamer
-0.2%
+1.8%
9%
Rising Liner
-1.9%
-3.1%
4%
Maybe Homer
-0.6%
+1.4%
3%
Likely Homer
+1.6%
+0.6%
1%
No Doubter
-0.5%
+1.0%
20%
Routine Flyout
+5.9%
+3.6%
3%
Pop up
+1.2%
+2.5%
22.8% of Ezequiel Tovar's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.5% lower than the league average. 24.6% of batted balls allowed by Kutter Crawford are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+1.8%
-0.3%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-3.0%
+6.6%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+0.4%
-4.0%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+2.3%
-2.6%
24%
Above 100 mph
-1.5%
+0.3%
10.4% of Ezequiel Tovar's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. 13.7% of batted balls allowed by Kutter Crawford are hit at this angle, which is 2.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-3.7%
-2.5%
12%
-10 to 0°
-2.5%
-2.5%
8%
1 to 6°
+0.5%
-2.1%
18%
7 to 18°
-1.5%
-2.2%
15%
19 to 28°
+2.7%
+0.3%
11%
29 to 38°
-1.0%
+2.2%
7%
39 to 50°
+4.1%
+3.1%
8%
Above 50°
+1.4%
+3.7%
Ezequiel Tovar has 3 plate appearances against Kutter Crawford in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
| Expected From Contact → | 1.53 | 0.00 | 0.23 | 1.30 | 0.509 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-06-13 | Single | 16% | 81% | 3% | |
| 2023-06-13 | Groundout | 1% | 27% | 72% | |
| 2023-06-13 | Lineout | 6% | 22% | 72% | |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
