Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ezequiel Tovar

matchup for Elvis Peguero

255th out of 436 (Worst 42%)

Elvis Peguero

matchup for Ezequiel Tovar

169th out of 567 (Best 31%)

Moderate advantage for Tovar

Ezequiel Tovar has a 33.2% chance of reaching base vs Elvis Peguero, which is 4.4% higher than Tovar's typical expectations, and 1.8% lower than batters facing Peguero.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.2%	28.7%	2.6%	5.1%	21.0%	4.6%	22.9%
Tovar	+4.4	+3.9	-0.7	-1.2	+5.8	+0.5	-5.6
Peguero	-1.8	+4.4	+0.7	+0.9	+2.8	-6.2	+1.4

Ezequiel Tovar is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Elvis Peguero is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Tovar has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Elvis Peguero throws a Slider 52% of the time. Ezequiel Tovar has an A grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

52%

Sinker (R)

48%

14% of Elvis Peguero's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Ezequiel Tovar has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 14%

+6%

Chaser 9%

+3%

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Mid Challenge 8%

-3%

Meatball 1%

-5%

41% of Elvis Peguero's pitches are classified as Small Drop, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Ezequiel Tovar has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Drop 41%

+28%

Extreme Break 41%

+27%

Breaking (R) 52%

+21%

Very Fast Velo 28%

+20%

17.2% of Ezequiel Tovar's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. Elvis Peguero strikes out 12.1% of the batters he faces, which is 4.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +4.4% -4.6% 6%

Walk -5.2% +2.1% 39%

In Play +0.8% +2.5% 39%

On Base -6.2% +4.9% 31%

Hit -1.0% +2.7% 14%

Single -1.4% +1.9% 13%

2B / 3B -1.3% +2.3% 3%

Home Run +1.7% -1.4%

28.5% of Ezequiel Tovar's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.9% lower than the league average. Elvis Peguero induces Standard Grounders at a 48.3% rate, which is 13.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.9% +13.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.1% +1.1% 14%

Low Screamer -0.2% -1.4% 9%

Rising Liner -1.8% -0.9% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.7% -1.6% 3%

Likely Homer +1.5% -2.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.5% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout +5.9% -5.9% 3%

Pop up +1.2% -2.0%

22.7% of Ezequiel Tovar's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 28.1% of batted balls allowed by Elvis Peguero are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.0% -2.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.2% +1.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.6% +1.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.2% -5.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.6% +3.8%

10.3% of Ezequiel Tovar's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 8.8% of batted balls allowed by Elvis Peguero are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.5% +11.3% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.5% +4.6% 8%

1 to 6° +0.5% -1.2% 18%

7 to 18° -1.5% -0.2% 15%

19 to 28° +2.7% -3.4% 11%

29 to 38° -1.1% -2.6% 7%

39 to 50° +4.1% -4.5% 8%

Above 50° +1.3% -4.1%

Ezequiel Tovar has 2 plate appearances against Elvis Peguero in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.16	0.00	0.05	0.10			0.078

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-08	Groundout		1%	4%	94%
2023-05-03	Flyout		4%	6%	90%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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