Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ezequiel Tovar

matchup for G. Cleavinger

115th out of 436 (Best 27%)

Garrett Cleavinger

matchup for Ezequiel Tovar

352nd out of 567 (Worst 38%)

Leans in favor of Cleavinger

Ezequiel Tovar has a 29.2% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Cleavinger, which is 0.4% higher than Tovar's typical expectations, and 3.7% lower than batters facing Cleavinger.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.2%	24.8%	2.9%	5.2%	16.7%	4.5%	29.6%
Tovar	+0.4	-0.1	-0.4	-1.1	+1.5	+0.4	+1.2
Cleavinger	-3.7	+3.2	+0.4	+0.8	+2.1	-6.9	+4.5

Ezequiel Tovar is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Garrett Cleavinger is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Tovar has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Garrett Cleavinger throws a Slider 41% of the time. Ezequiel Tovar has an A grade against left-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (L)

41%

4-Seam (L)

32%

Cutter (L)

13%

Sinker (L)

12%

14% of Garrett Cleavinger's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Ezequiel Tovar has a C- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-1%

Meatball 2%

-4%

21% of Garrett Cleavinger's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Ezequiel Tovar has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 21%

+17%

Breaking (L) 42%

+12%

Large Drop 16%

+11%

Medium Break 18%

+10%

17.2% of Ezequiel Tovar's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. Garrett Cleavinger strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +4.4% +4.2% 6%

Walk -5.2% +3.9% 39%

In Play +0.8% -8.1% 39%

On Base -6.2% +3.2% 31%

Hit -1.0% -0.7% 14%

Single -1.4% -0.6% 13%

2B / 3B -1.3% -0.4% 3%

Home Run +1.7% +0.3%

28.5% of Ezequiel Tovar's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.9% lower than the league average. Garrett Cleavinger induces Standard Grounders at a 37.6% rate, which is 3.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% +0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.9% +3.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.1% -1.7% 14%

Low Screamer -0.2% -1.0% 9%

Rising Liner -1.8% -2.9% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.7% +1.2% 3%

Likely Homer +1.5% -1.9% 1%

No Doubter -0.5% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +5.9% +1.3% 3%

Pop up +1.2% +1.0%

22.7% of Ezequiel Tovar's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 20.6% of batted balls allowed by Garrett Cleavinger are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.0% +4.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.2% -1.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.6% -3.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.2% +3.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.6% -3.7%

10.3% of Ezequiel Tovar's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 12.8% of batted balls allowed by Garrett Cleavinger are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.5% +1.1% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.5% +2.2% 8%

1 to 6° +0.5% -2.3% 18%

7 to 18° -1.5% -3.7% 15%

19 to 28° +2.7% +1.8% 11%

29 to 38° -1.1% +1.3% 7%

39 to 50° +4.1% +0.4% 8%

Above 50° +1.3% -0.8%

Ezequiel Tovar has 1 plate appearance against Garrett Cleavinger in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.26	0.14	0.12	0.00			0.260

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-04-06	Flyout	14%	12%		74%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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