Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ezequiel Tovar

matchup for Elvin Rodriguez

183rd out of 436 (Best 43%)

Elvin Rodriguez

matchup for Ezequiel Tovar

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Tovar

Ezequiel Tovar has a 32.7% chance of reaching base vs Elvin Rodriguez, which is 3.8% higher than Tovar's typical expectations, and 2.5% lower than batters facing Rodriguez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.7%	28.4%	3.8%	7.0%	17.6%	4.4%	26.2%
Tovar	+3.8	+3.5	+0.5	+0.7	+2.3	+0.3	-2.2
Rodriguez	-2.5	+3.7	+0.8	+1.1	+1.9	-6.2	+4.6

Ezequiel Tovar is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Elvin Rodriguez is right handed .

Elvin Rodriguez throws a 4-seam fastball 51% of the time. Ezequiel Tovar has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

51%

Slider (R)

21%

Changeup (R)

13%

Curve (R)

12%

9% of Elvin Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Ezequiel Tovar has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+3%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Weak Challenge 4%

-4%

35% of Elvin Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Ezequiel Tovar has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 35%

+20%

High Ride 30%

+20%

Medium Break 30%

+10%

17.2% of Ezequiel Tovar's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez strikes out 16.4% of the batters he faces, which is 6.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +4.4% +6.5% 6%

Walk -5.2% +4.1% 39%

In Play +0.8% -10.5% 39%

On Base -6.2% +8.4% 31%

Hit -1.0% +4.3% 14%

Single -1.4% +0.1% 13%

2B / 3B -1.3% +0.5% 3%

Home Run +1.7% +3.7%

28.5% of Ezequiel Tovar's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.9% lower than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez induces Standard Grounders at a 25.8% rate, which is 8.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.9% -8.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.1% +3.6% 14%

Low Screamer -0.2% +0.8% 9%

Rising Liner -1.8% -4.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.7% -1.2% 3%

Likely Homer +1.5% +5.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.5% +1.9% 20%

Routine Flyout +5.9% +0.7% 3%

Pop up +1.2% +0.9%

22.7% of Ezequiel Tovar's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 34.7% of batted balls allowed by Elvin Rodriguez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 10.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.0% -7.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.2% -0.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.6% -2.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.2% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.6% +10.4%

10.3% of Ezequiel Tovar's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 15.4% of batted balls allowed by Elvin Rodriguez are hit at this angle, which is 3.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%