Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ezequiel Tovar

matchup for John Means

44th out of 436 (Best 11%)

John Means

matchup for Ezequiel Tovar

351st out of 567 (Worst 38%)

Leans in favor of Means

Ezequiel Tovar has a 26.8% chance of reaching base vs John Means, which is 2.0% lower than Tovar's typical expectations, and 4.1% lower than batters facing Means.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	26.8%	24.0%	3.2%	6.7%	14.2%	2.8%	26.4%
Tovar	-2.0	-0.8	-0.1	+0.3	-1.0	-1.2	-2.0
Means	-4.1	0.0	-0.2	+0.1	+0.1	-4.1	+5.5

Ezequiel Tovar is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. John Means is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Tovar has a D grade vs this particular release point.

John Means throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Ezequiel Tovar has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

49%

Changeup (L)

28%

Slider (L)

12%

Curve (L)

11%

9% of John Means's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Ezequiel Tovar has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+4%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 3%

-6%

31% of John Means's pitches are classified as Extreme Ride, which is 27% higher than the MLB average. Ezequiel Tovar hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Ride 31%

+27%

Medium Break 40%

+21%

Offspeed (L) 28%

+15%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

17.2% of Ezequiel Tovar's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. John Means strikes out 14.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +4.4% -0.2% 6%

Walk -5.2% -2.7% 39%

In Play +0.8% +2.9% 39%

On Base -6.2% -4.8% 31%

Hit -1.0% -2.0% 14%

Single -1.4% -1.5% 13%

2B / 3B -1.3% -1.1% 3%

Home Run +1.7% +0.5%

28.5% of Ezequiel Tovar's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.9% lower than the league average. John Means induces Standard Grounders at a 23.3% rate, which is 11.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.9% -11.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.1% -1.7% 14%

Low Screamer -0.2% +0.6% 9%

Rising Liner -1.8% +0.6% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.7% +0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +1.5% 0.0% 1%

No Doubter -0.5% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +5.9% +5.9% 3%

Pop up +1.2% +4.8%

22.7% of Ezequiel Tovar's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 26.7% of batted balls allowed by John Means are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.0% -0.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.2% +1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.6% -3.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.2% +0.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.6% +2.4%

10.3% of Ezequiel Tovar's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 12.5% of batted balls allowed by John Means are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%