Matchup Machine

Curtis Mead

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matchup for C. Hernandez

36th out of 436 (Best 9%)

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Carlos Hernandez

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matchup for Curtis Mead

271st out of 567 (Best 49%)

Moderate advantage for Hernandez
4

Model Prediction

Curtis Mead has a 28.4% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Hernandez, which is 0.5% higher than Mead's typical expectations, and 3.8% lower than batters facing Hernandez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.4%20.0%1.8%5.0%13.2%8.4%23.9%
Mead+0.5-1.3+0.1+0.4-1.8+1.8-0.1
Hernandez-3.8-1.5-1.2-0.8+0.6-2.3-0.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Curtis Mead is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Carlos Hernandez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Mead doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Carlos Hernandez throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Curtis Mead hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
19%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Kn-Curve (R)
8%
   Splitter (R)
6%
   Sinker (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

18.2% of Curtis Mead's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Carlos Hernandez strikes out 14.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -0.7% -1.8% 6%         Walk -2.7% +2.0% 50%         In Play +3.4% -0.2% 39%         On Base +1.2% +0.9% 31%         Hit +3.9% -1.1% 14%         Single +2.7% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +3.1% -0.7% 3%         Home Run -1.9% +0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years