Matchup Machine

Curtis Mead

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matchup for Cole Winn

63rd out of 436 (Best 15%)

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Cole Winn

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matchup for Curtis Mead

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Mead
2

Model Prediction

Curtis Mead has a 31.3% chance of reaching base vs Cole Winn, which is 3.3% higher than Mead's typical expectations, and 3.0% lower than batters facing Winn.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.3%24.3%1.6%5.6%17.0%7.0%18.8%
Mead+3.3+2.9-0.2+1.0+2.1+0.4-5.2
Winn-3.0-0.5-1.2-0.4+1.1-2.5-2.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Curtis Mead is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Cole Winn is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Mead does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Cole Winn throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Curtis Mead hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
41%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Splitter (R)
18%
   Sinker (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

18.2% of Curtis Mead's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Cole Winn strikes out 11.2% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -0.7% -4.3% 6%         Walk -2.7% -3.6% 50%         In Play +3.4% +7.9% 39%         On Base +1.2% +6.4% 31%         Hit +3.9% +10.0% 14%         Single +2.7% +5.6% 13%         2B / 3B +3.1% +6.0% 3%         Home Run -1.9% -1.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years