matchup for Luis Severino
matchup for Curtis Mead
6
Curtis Mead has a 27.0% chance of reaching base vs Luis Severino, which is 0.8% lower than Mead's typical expectations, and 3.0% lower than batters facing Severino.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 27.0% | 20.4% | 1.5% | 4.1% | 14.8% | 6.6% | 25.0% |
| Mead | -0.8 | -0.8 | -0.3 | -0.6 | +0.0 | 0.0 | +1.0 |
| Severino | -3.0 | -0.8 | -0.9 | 0.0 | +0.1 | -2.2 | +1.8 |
Curtis Mead is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Luis Severino is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Mead doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.
Luis Severino throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Curtis Mead hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
44%
Slider (R)
27%
Changeup (R)
14%
Sinker (R)
8%
Cutter (R)
6%
14% of Luis Severino's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Curtis Mead hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
14%
+3%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Strong Challenge
6%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Chaser
6%
0%
Weak Challenge
8%
0%
Likely Ball
19%
-1%
Non-Competitive
10%
-3%
Meatball
3%
-3%
27% of Luis Severino's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Curtis Mead hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Very Fast Velo
27%
+19%
Medium Break
36%
+16%
Medium Ride
24%
+10%
18.2% of Curtis Mead's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Luis Severino strikes out 16.2% of the batters he faces, which is 0.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
18%
Strikeout
-0.7%
+0.9%
6%
Walk
-2.7%
-1.1%
50%
In Play
+3.4%
+0.2%
39%
On Base
+1.2%
-0.9%
31%
Hit
+3.9%
+0.2%
14%
Single
+2.7%
+0.2%
13%
2B / 3B
+3.1%
+0.4%
3%
Home Run
-1.9%
-0.5%
26.1% of Curtis Mead's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.3% lower than the league average. Luis Severino induces Standard Grounders at a 35.9% rate, which is 1.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.8%
+0.1%
34%
Standard Grounder
-8.3%
+1.5%
7%
Hard Grounder
+4.1%
-0.2%
14%
Low Screamer
+10.8%
+3.2%
9%
Rising Liner
+6.2%
-0.3%
4%
Maybe Homer
-2.4%
-0.4%
3%
Likely Homer
-3.6%
-1.3%
1%
No Doubter
-1.2%
-0.5%
20%
Routine Flyout
-8.8%
-1.4%
3%
Pop up
+4.1%
-0.7%
23.8% of Curtis Mead's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. 23.8% of batted balls allowed by Luis Severino are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+10.7%
+2.0%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-2.5%
+0.9%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-3.2%
-3.8%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-4.4%
+1.5%
24%
Above 100 mph
-0.5%
-0.5%
15.2% of Curtis Mead's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Luis Severino are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+1.1%
+1.2%
12%
-10 to 0°
-2.5%
+0.3%
8%
1 to 6°
-0.6%
-0.3%
18%
7 to 18°
+9.2%
+1.5%
15%
19 to 28°
-3.3%
-0.5%
11%
29 to 38°
+3.8%
-1.3%
7%
39 to 50°
-3.9%
-0.7%
8%
Above 50°
-3.8%
-0.2%
No History in the last 3 years
