Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Curtis Mead

matchup for Aaron Nola

48th out of 436 (Best 12%)

Aaron Nola

matchup for Curtis Mead

451st out of 567 (Worst 21%)

Strong advantage for Nola

Curtis Mead has a 25.5% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 2.5% lower than Mead's typical expectations, and 4.0% lower than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	25.5%	20.3%	1.8%	6.0%	12.5%	5.1%	32.6%
Mead	-2.5	-1.0	+0.0	+1.3	-2.4	-1.5	+8.7
Nola	-4.0	-2.1	-1.1	-0.3	-0.6	-2.0	+1.8

Curtis Mead is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Mead does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Curtis Mead hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Curtis Mead hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Curtis Mead hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

18.2% of Curtis Mead's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -0.7% +6.3% 6%

Walk -2.7% -2.8% 50%

In Play +3.4% -3.5% 39%

On Base +1.2% -4.8% 31%

Hit +3.9% -2.0% 14%

Single +2.7% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B +3.1% -0.7% 3%

Home Run -1.9% -0.5%

26.1% of Curtis Mead's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.3% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -8.3% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +4.1% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer +10.8% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner +6.2% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.4% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer -3.6% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -8.8% -0.4% 3%

Pop up +4.1% -0.7%

23.8% of Curtis Mead's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +10.7% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.5% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.2% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.4% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph -0.5% -0.7%

15.2% of Curtis Mead's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%