Matchup Machine

Curtis Mead

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matchup for Thyago Vieira

101st out of 436 (Best 24%)

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Thyago Vieira

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matchup for Curtis Mead

186th out of 567 (Best 34%)

Leans in favor of Vieira
2

Model Prediction

Curtis Mead has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs Thyago Vieira, which is 3.4% higher than Mead's typical expectations, and 2.3% lower than batters facing Vieira.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.4%20.0%1.4%4.3%14.3%11.4%22.1%
Mead+3.4-1.3-0.4-0.3-0.6+4.8-1.9
Vieira-2.3-0.2-0.9-0.3+1.0-2.2-2.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Curtis Mead is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Thyago Vieira is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Mead doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Thyago Vieira throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Curtis Mead hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
42%
   Slider (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

18.2% of Curtis Mead's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Thyago Vieira strikes out 13.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -0.7% -2.2% 6%         Walk -2.7% +4.2% 50%         In Play +3.4% -2.0% 39%         On Base +1.2% +1.5% 31%         Hit +3.9% -2.7% 14%         Single +2.7% -2.0% 13%         2B / 3B +3.1% -1.6% 3%         Home Run -1.9% +0.9%

History

Curtis Mead has 1 plate appearance against Thyago Vieira in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.060.000.000.060.055
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-01Groundout6%94%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.