Matchup Machine

Curtis Mead

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matchup for Jon Gray

88th out of 436 (Best 21%)

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Jon Gray

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matchup for Curtis Mead

47th out of 567 (Best 9%)

Moderate advantage for Mead
4

Model Prediction

Curtis Mead has a 31.0% chance of reaching base vs Jon Gray, which is 3.1% higher than Mead's typical expectations, and 2.0% lower than batters facing Gray.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.0%25.7%2.2%5.8%17.8%5.3%16.2%
Mead+3.1+4.4+0.4+1.2+2.9-1.3-7.8
Gray-2.0-0.7-1.0+0.1+0.2-1.4-0.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Curtis Mead is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jon Gray is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Mead does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jon Gray throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Curtis Mead hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
47%
   Slider (R)
38%
   Changeup (R)
9%
   Curve (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

18.2% of Curtis Mead's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Jon Gray strikes out 17.9% of the batters he faces, which is 3.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -0.7% +3.8% 6%         Walk -2.7% -1.2% 50%         In Play +3.4% -2.6% 39%         On Base +1.2% -0.6% 31%         Hit +3.9% +0.6% 14%         Single +2.7% +0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +3.1% +0.4% 3%         Home Run -1.9% -0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years