Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Curtis Mead

matchup for Lance Lynn

65th out of 436 (Best 16%)

Lance Lynn

matchup for Curtis Mead

80th out of 567 (Best 15%)

Leans in favor of Mead

Curtis Mead has a 30.1% chance of reaching base vs Lance Lynn, which is 2.2% higher than Mead's typical expectations, and 2.8% lower than batters facing Lynn.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.1%	24.2%	2.2%	5.3%	16.6%	5.9%	17.8%
Mead	+2.2	+2.8	+0.5	+0.7	+1.7	-0.7	-6.2
Lynn	-2.8	+0.1	-0.9	-0.5	+1.4	-2.8	-2.0

Curtis Mead is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Lance Lynn is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Mead doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Lance Lynn throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Curtis Mead hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

44%

Cutter (R)

25%

Sinker (R)

16%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

7% of Lance Lynn's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Curtis Mead hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+0%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Non-Competitive 13%

Fringe Miss 12%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

85% of Lance Lynn's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Curtis Mead has an F grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 85%

+32%

Medium Fast Velo 30%

+15%

Low Ride 36%

+12%

Small Break 19%

+10%

18.2% of Curtis Mead's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Lance Lynn strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -0.7% +1.3% 6%

Walk -2.7% -1.6% 50%

In Play +3.4% +0.3% 39%

On Base +1.2% -2.3% 31%

Hit +3.9% -0.6% 14%

Single +2.7% -0.1% 13%

2B / 3B +3.1% -0.1% 3%

Home Run -1.9% -0.4%

26.1% of Curtis Mead's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.3% lower than the league average. Lance Lynn induces Standard Grounders at a 32.0% rate, which is 2.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -8.3% -2.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +4.1% -1.8% 14%

Low Screamer +10.8% +2.4% 9%

Rising Liner +6.2% -0.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.4% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer -3.6% +0.7% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -8.8% +0.7% 3%

Pop up +4.1% +1.6%

23.8% of Curtis Mead's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. 23.9% of batted balls allowed by Lance Lynn are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +10.7% +0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.5% +1.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.2% -0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.4% -1.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -0.5% -0.4%

15.2% of Curtis Mead's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Lance Lynn are hit at this angle, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%