Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Miguel Vargas

matchup for Ryan Johnson

243rd out of 436 (Worst 44%)

Ryan Johnson

matchup for Miguel Vargas

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Vargas

Miguel Vargas has a 34.5% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Johnson, which is 4.2% higher than Vargas's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Johnson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.5%	20.0%	3.0%	6.7%	10.3%	14.6%	21.3%
Vargas	+4.2	+2.2	+0.6	+2.1	-0.5	+2.1	-7.6
Johnson	-0.4	-3.5	+0.0	+0.6	-4.1	+3.1	+1.4

Miguel Vargas is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Ryan Johnson is right handed .

Ryan Johnson throws a Cutter 62% of the time. Miguel Vargas hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

62%

Sinker (R)

18%

4-Seam (R)

Changeup (R)

21% of Ryan Johnson's pitches are classified as Non-Competitive, which is 8% higher than the MLB average. Miguel Vargas has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Non-Competitive 21%

+8%

Edge Painter 24%

+6%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Meatball 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Chaser 3%

-3%

Fringe Miss 3%

-10%

88% of Ryan Johnson's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 35% higher than the MLB average. Miguel Vargas has an F grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 88%

+35%

Just Gravity 41%

+28%

Medium Break 35%

+26%

Medium Slow Velo 38%

+25%

14.2% of Miguel Vargas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Ryan Johnson strikes out 10.0% of the batters he faces, which is 14.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.7% -14.4% 3%

Walk +2.3% +2.1% 40%

In Play -1.6% +12.3% 39%

On Base -6.1% +6.0% 31%

Hit -8.4% +3.9% 14%

Single -4.2% -6.4% 13%

2B / 3B -3.6% -5.9% 3%

Home Run -0.6% +16.2%

28.4% of Miguel Vargas's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.0% lower than the league average. Ryan Johnson induces Standard Grounders at a 25.3% rate, which is 9.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -6.0% -9.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer +5.9% -15.0% 9%

Rising Liner +1.0% -9.6% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.2% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer -1.4% +9.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.0% +11.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +4.0% -20.1% 3%

Pop up +2.0% +46.0%

15.9% of Miguel Vargas's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.4% lower than the league average. 25.3% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Johnson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.6% +8.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph +9.9% +16.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.3% -18.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.9% -6.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -8.4% +1.0%

15.3% of Miguel Vargas's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. 25.3% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Johnson are hit at this angle, which is 13.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.7% -17.8% 12%

-10 to 0° -5.9% -12.4% 8%

1 to 6° -0.1% +4.0% 18%

7 to 18° +1.4% -6.0% 15%

19 to 28° -0.8% -15.0% 11%

29 to 38° +3.8% +13.9% 7%

39 to 50° +3.6% -7.9% 8%

Above 50° +1.6% +41.3%

Miguel Vargas has 1 plate appearance against Ryan Johnson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1.000
Expected From Contact →			0.33	0.00	0.01	0.33			0.333

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2025-03-27	Single

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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