matchup for Kyle Harrison
1
Miguel Vargas has a 31.9% chance of reaching base vs Kyle Harrison, which is 1.7% higher than Vargas's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Harrison.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 31.9% | 19.4% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 27.7% |
| Vargas | +1.7 | +1.9 | +0.3 | +0.3 | +1.3 | -0.2 | -1.6 |
| Harrison | -0.8 | -3.3 | -0.3 | -0.4 | -2.5 | +2.4 | +1.9 |
Miguel Vargas is better vs left-handed pitching. Kyle Harrison is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Vargas doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.
Kyle Harrison throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Miguel Vargas has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
58%
Curve (L)
23%
Changeup (L)
18%
14% of Kyle Harrison's pitches are classified as Non-Competitive, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Miguel Vargas has an A grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Non-Competitive
14%
+2%
Weak Challenge
10%
+1%
Meatball
6%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Edge Painter
17%
+0%
Mid Challenge
11%
+0%
Strong Challenge
5%
0%
Chaser
5%
-1%
Likely Ball
16%
-3%
39% of Kyle Harrison's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Miguel Vargas hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Break
39%
+24%
Low Ride
42%
+19%
Medium Fast Velo
34%
+18%
14.1% of Miguel Vargas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.8% lower than the league average. Kyle Harrison strikes out 15.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.
14%
Strikeout
-0.8%
-0.1%
3%
Walk
+2.8%
+1.1%
40%
In Play
-2.0%
-0.9%
39%
On Base
-5.4%
+1.4%
31%
Hit
-8.2%
+0.3%
14%
Single
-4.1%
-0.4%
13%
2B / 3B
-3.5%
+0.1%
3%
Home Run
-0.6%
+0.6%
27.6% of Miguel Vargas's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.8% lower than the league average. Kyle Harrison induces Standard Grounders at a 28.3% rate, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.8%
+1.0%
34%
Standard Grounder
-6.8%
-6.1%
7%
Hard Grounder
-2.3%
+2.7%
14%
Low Screamer
+5.5%
-5.4%
9%
Rising Liner
+1.1%
+3.0%
4%
Maybe Homer
-1.2%
+2.5%
3%
Likely Homer
-1.4%
-0.2%
1%
No Doubter
-1.0%
+0.2%
20%
Routine Flyout
+4.9%
+2.1%
3%
Pop up
+2.0%
+0.2%
16.2% of Miguel Vargas's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.1% lower than the league average. 26.7% of batted balls allowed by Kyle Harrison are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+0.6%
-2.6%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+9.5%
-1.5%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+0.1%
-2.7%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-2.1%
+4.5%
24%
Above 100 mph
-8.1%
+2.4%
15.2% of Miguel Vargas's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. 8.2% of batted balls allowed by Kyle Harrison are hit at this angle, which is 3.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-3.6%
-2.1%
12%
-10 to 0°
-6.5%
-2.9%
8%
1 to 6°
-0.5%
+2.8%
18%
7 to 18°
+1.8%
+0.9%
15%
19 to 28°
-1.0%
+0.4%
11%
29 to 38°
+3.8%
-3.2%
7%
39 to 50°
+3.9%
+3.2%
8%
Above 50°
+2.0%
+1.0%
Miguel Vargas has 3 plate appearances against Kyle Harrison in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 0.034 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-08-19 | Forceout | 3% | 97% | ||
| 2024-08-19 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-08-19 | Flyout | 3% | 3% | 93% | |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
