Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Miguel Vargas

matchup for Matt Festa

92nd out of 436 (Best 22%)

Matt Festa

matchup for Miguel Vargas

333rd out of 567 (Worst 41%)

Moderate advantage for Festa

Miguel Vargas has a 29.5% chance of reaching base vs Matt Festa, which is 0.8% lower than Vargas's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Festa.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.5%	19.2%	2.6%	5.2%	11.4%	10.3%	30.7%
Vargas	-0.8	+1.4	+0.1	+0.6	+0.6	-2.2	+1.8
Festa	-1.3	-4.1	-0.2	-0.6	-3.4	+2.8	+5.5

Miguel Vargas is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Matt Festa is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Vargas has an F grade vs this particular release point.

Matt Festa throws a Slider 47% of the time. Miguel Vargas has a D grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

47%

4-Seam (R)

44%

Cutter (R)

8% of Matt Festa's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Miguel Vargas hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

+0%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

31% of Matt Festa's pitches are classified as Very Slow Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Miguel Vargas has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Slow Velo 31%

+18%

Breaking (R) 49%

+18%

Large Break 20%

+16%

Small Drop 25%

+13%

14.2% of Miguel Vargas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Matt Festa strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.7% +2.6% 3%

Walk +2.3% +3.5% 40%

In Play -1.6% -6.1% 39%

On Base -6.1% +0.8% 31%

Hit -8.4% -2.7% 14%

Single -4.2% -1.5% 13%

2B / 3B -3.6% -1.0% 3%

Home Run -0.6% -0.2%

28.4% of Miguel Vargas's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.0% lower than the league average. Matt Festa induces Standard Grounders at a 28.3% rate, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -6.0% -6.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% +2.4% 14%

Low Screamer +5.9% +4.7% 9%

Rising Liner +1.0% -2.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.2% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer -1.4% +1.2% 1%

No Doubter -1.0% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +4.0% -1.2% 3%

Pop up +2.0% +2.1%

15.9% of Miguel Vargas's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.4% lower than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Matt Festa are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.6% 0.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph +9.9% +6.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.3% -1.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.9% -4.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -8.4% -0.7%

15.3% of Miguel Vargas's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. 12.9% of batted balls allowed by Matt Festa are hit at this angle, which is 1.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%