Matchup Machine

Miguel Vargas

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matchup for Logan Allen

118th out of 436 (Best 28%)

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Logan Allen

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matchup for Miguel Vargas

46th out of 567 (Best 9%)

Strong advantage for Vargas
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Model Prediction

Miguel Vargas has a 34.2% chance of reaching base vs Logan Allen, which is 3.9% higher than Vargas's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Allen.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.2%23.6%2.7%5.9%15.1%10.6%21.3%
Vargas+3.9+5.8+0.2+1.3+4.3-1.9-7.6
Allen-0.9-2.4-0.2+0.0-2.2+1.5+3.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Miguel Vargas is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Logan Allen is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Vargas doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Allen throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Miguel Vargas has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Slider (L)
28%
   Changeup (L)
14%
   Curve (L)
7%
   Cutter (L)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

14.2% of Miguel Vargas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Logan Allen strikes out 12.8% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.7% -2.6% 3%         Walk +2.3% +1.3% 40%         In Play -1.6% +1.3% 39%         On Base -6.1% +6.7% 31%         Hit -8.4% +5.4% 14%         Single -4.2% +2.7% 13%         2B / 3B -3.6% +3.1% 3%         Home Run -0.6% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years