matchup for Jalen Beeks
2
Miguel Vargas has a 32.6% chance of reaching base vs Jalen Beeks, which is 2.3% higher than Vargas's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Beeks.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 32.6% | 18.9% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 21.9% |
| Vargas | +2.3 | +1.4 | -0.4 | +0.2 | +1.7 | +0.9 | -7.5 |
| Beeks | -0.9 | -5.2 | -0.5 | -0.2 | -4.5 | +4.3 | +3.4 |
Miguel Vargas is better vs left-handed pitching. Jalen Beeks is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Vargas has a D- grade vs this particular release point.
Jalen Beeks throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Miguel Vargas has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
47%
Changeup (L)
34%
Cutter (L)
11%
Curve (L)
9%
14% of Jalen Beeks's pitches are classified as Non-Competitive, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Miguel Vargas has an A grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Non-Competitive
14%
+1%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Mid Challenge
12%
+0%
Likely Ball
20%
+0%
Weak Challenge
9%
+0%
Strong Challenge
5%
0%
Edge Painter
17%
-1%
Fringe Miss
12%
-1%
Meatball
4%
-1%
34% of Jalen Beeks's pitches are classified as Offspeed Pitches, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Miguel Vargas hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Offspeed (L)
34%
+21%
Medium Slow Velo
24%
+10%
Medium Break
29%
+10%
14.1% of Miguel Vargas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.8% lower than the league average. Jalen Beeks strikes out 14.1% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.
14%
Strikeout
-0.8%
-2.5%
3%
Walk
+2.8%
-0.1%
40%
In Play
-2.0%
+2.6%
39%
On Base
-5.4%
+0.4%
31%
Hit
-8.2%
+0.5%
14%
Single
-4.1%
+0.8%
13%
2B / 3B
-3.5%
+1.0%
3%
Home Run
-0.6%
-1.3%
27.6% of Miguel Vargas's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.8% lower than the league average. Jalen Beeks induces Standard Grounders at a 40.4% rate, which is 6.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.8%
+0.0%
34%
Standard Grounder
-6.8%
+6.0%
7%
Hard Grounder
-2.3%
-1.8%
14%
Low Screamer
+5.5%
+0.8%
9%
Rising Liner
+1.1%
-1.2%
4%
Maybe Homer
-1.2%
-0.8%
3%
Likely Homer
-1.4%
-0.2%
1%
No Doubter
-1.0%
-0.4%
20%
Routine Flyout
+4.9%
-3.8%
3%
Pop up
+2.0%
+1.3%
16.2% of Miguel Vargas's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.1% lower than the league average. 20.7% of batted balls allowed by Jalen Beeks are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+0.6%
+3.1%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+9.5%
+4.6%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+0.1%
-1.6%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-2.1%
-2.6%
24%
Above 100 mph
-8.1%
-3.6%
15.2% of Miguel Vargas's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. 8.5% of batted balls allowed by Jalen Beeks are hit at this angle, which is 2.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-3.6%
+5.0%
12%
-10 to 0°
-6.5%
+0.7%
8%
1 to 6°
-0.5%
-1.6%
18%
7 to 18°
+1.8%
-0.8%
15%
19 to 28°
-1.0%
-1.4%
11%
29 to 38°
+3.8%
-2.9%
7%
39 to 50°
+3.9%
+0.7%
8%
Above 50°
+2.0%
+0.2%
Miguel Vargas has 2 plate appearances against Jalen Beeks in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with 2 strikeouts.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.000 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-05-28 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2023-05-26 | Strikeout | ||||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
