Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Miguel Vargas

matchup for Tyler Mahle

31st out of 436 (Best 8%)

Tyler Mahle

matchup for Miguel Vargas

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Mahle

Miguel Vargas has a 27.2% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Mahle, which is 3.1% lower than Vargas's typical expectations, and 3.1% lower than batters facing Mahle.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.2%	14.6%	2.6%	3.6%	8.4%	12.6%	32.1%
Vargas	-3.1	-3.2	+0.1	-0.9	-2.4	+0.1	+3.2
Mahle	-3.1	-6.4	-0.8	-0.6	-5.0	+3.3	+6.9

Miguel Vargas is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Tyler Mahle is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Vargas has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Tyler Mahle throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Miguel Vargas has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

55%

Slider (R)

19%

Splitter (R)

16%

Curve (R)

9% of Tyler Mahle's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Miguel Vargas hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Non-Competitive 11%

-1%

Weak Challenge 4%

-4%

54% of Tyler Mahle's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 33% higher than the MLB average. Miguel Vargas has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 54%

+33%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

Medium Ride 22%

+8%

14.2% of Miguel Vargas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Tyler Mahle strikes out 23.6% of the batters he faces, which is 10.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.7% +10.2% 3%

Walk +2.3% -1.2% 40%

In Play -1.6% -9.0% 39%

On Base -6.1% -5.6% 31%

Hit -8.4% -4.3% 14%

Single -4.2% -1.6% 13%

2B / 3B -3.6% -1.4% 3%

Home Run -0.6% -1.4%

28.4% of Miguel Vargas's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.0% lower than the league average. Tyler Mahle induces Standard Grounders at a 32.1% rate, which is 2.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -6.0% -2.3% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% -2.1% 14%

Low Screamer +5.9% -0.6% 9%

Rising Liner +1.0% -0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.2% +1.1% 3%

Likely Homer -1.4% +0.2% 1%

No Doubter -1.0% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +4.0% +3.0% 3%

Pop up +2.0% +1.2%

15.9% of Miguel Vargas's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.4% lower than the league average. 21.4% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Mahle are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.6% -0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +9.9% -0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.3% +1.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.9% +3.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -8.4% -3.0%

15.3% of Miguel Vargas's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. 14.3% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Mahle are hit at this angle, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%