Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Miguel Vargas

matchup for Seth Lugo

58th out of 436 (Best 14%)

Seth Lugo

matchup for Miguel Vargas

360th out of 567 (Worst 37%)

Moderate advantage for Lugo

Miguel Vargas has a 30.4% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.1% higher than Vargas's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Lugo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.4%	18.2%	2.4%	4.8%	10.9%	12.2%	33.6%
Vargas	+0.1	+0.4	0.0	+0.3	+0.1	-0.3	+4.7
Lugo	-2.1	-5.7	-0.7	-0.1	-4.9	+3.6	+8.8

Miguel Vargas is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Vargas has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Miguel Vargas has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

29%

Curve (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Miguel Vargas has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

25% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Miguel Vargas hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 25%

+20%

Large Break 18%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

14.2% of Miguel Vargas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.7% +0.8% 3%

Walk +2.3% -2.3% 40%

In Play -1.6% +1.4% 39%

On Base -6.1% -0.4% 31%

Hit -8.4% +1.9% 14%

Single -4.2% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B -3.6% +1.1% 3%

Home Run -0.6% +0.1%

28.4% of Miguel Vargas's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.0% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -6.0% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer +5.9% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner +1.0% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.2% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -1.4% +2.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.0% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +4.0% -0.1% 3%

Pop up +2.0% -2.2%

15.9% of Miguel Vargas's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.4% lower than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.6% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +9.9% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.3% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.9% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -8.4% -1.6%

15.3% of Miguel Vargas's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%