Matchup Machine

Parker Meadows

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matchup for Aaron Civale

164th out of 436 (Best 38%)

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Aaron Civale

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matchup for Parker Meadows

418th out of 567 (Worst 26%)

Leans in favor of Civale
2

Model Prediction

Parker Meadows has a 28.5% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Civale, which is 3.3% lower than Meadows's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Civale.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.5%20.2%3.4%3.6%13.1%8.4%24.6%
Meadows-3.3-1.4+0.5-0.9-1.0-1.9-1.6
Civale-0.9-1.3+0.2-0.7-0.9+0.4+3.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Parker Meadows is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Aaron Civale is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Meadows has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Civale throws a Cutter 32% of the time. Parker Meadows hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
32%
   Sinker (R)
21%
   Curve (R)
20%
   4-Seam (R)
11%
   Slider (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

15.1% of Parker Meadows's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.2% higher than the league average. Aaron Civale strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.2% +0.4% 4%         Walk +1.2% -1.3% 41%         In Play -1.4% +1.0% 39%         On Base +1.4% -0.9% 31%         Hit +0.3% +0.5% 14%         Single -0.2% 0.0% 13%         2B / 3B +0.1% +0.3% 3%         Home Run +0.4% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years