Matchup Machine

Bobby Witt Jr.

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matchup for Jalen Beeks

426th out of 436 (Worst 3%)

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Jalen Beeks

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matchup for Bobby Witt Jr.

133rd out of 567 (Best 24%)

Extreme advantage for Witt Jr.
10

Model Prediction

Bobby Witt Jr. has a 35.8% chance of reaching base vs Jalen Beeks, which is 2.1% higher than Witt Jr.'s typical expectations, and 2.4% higher than batters facing Beeks.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.8%28.2%4.1%5.9%18.2%7.6%12.3%
Witt Jr.+2.1+2.30.0-0.1+2.5-0.2-4.9
Beeks+2.4+4.1+1.6+1.0+1.4-1.7-6.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Bobby Witt Jr. is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Jalen Beeks is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Witt Jr. has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jalen Beeks throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Bobby Witt Jr. has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
47%
   Changeup (L)
34%
   Cutter (L)
11%
   Curve (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

9.7% of Bobby Witt Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.3% lower than the league average. Jalen Beeks strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -8.3% -2.5% 5%         Walk -1.0% -0.1% 36%         In Play +9.3% +2.6% 39%         On Base +4.3% +0.4% 31%         Hit +5.3% +0.5% 14%         Single +0.8% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B +1.2% +1.0% 3%         Home Run +3.3% -1.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years