Matchup Machine

Bobby Witt Jr.

Worst 12% of matchups for Austin Gomber

Austin Gomber

Best 25% of matchups for Bobby Witt Jr.

Extreme advantage for Witt Jr.

Model Prediction
Prediction	3.7%	5.1%	15.7%	7.4%	12.3%
MLB (+/-)	+0.9	+0.9	+1.8	-2.3	-12.9
Witt Jr.	+0.2	+0.4	+1.7	-2.7	-6.6
Gomber	+0.5	+0.8	-0.5	-0.5	-4.0

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

3.7%

5.1%

15.7%

7.4%

12.3%

MLB (+/-)

+0.9

+1.8

-2.3

-12.9

Witt Jr.

+0.2

+0.4

+1.7

-2.7

-6.6

Gomber

+0.5

+0.8

-0.5

-4.0

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	2	2	0	0	2	0	2	1.000
Expected From Contact →			1.42	0.00	0.01	1.41			.710

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-06-03	Single			82%	17%
2023-06-03	Single			59%	41%
2022-05-15	Walk
2022-05-15	Walk

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	54%	32	RHB vs LHP	-14	80%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

54%

RHB vs LHP

-14

80%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
⭐	51%	78	Fastball	16	45%
⭐⭐	29%	84	Breaking	-26	37%
⭐⭐	12%	98	Offspeed	0	18%
			------------------
⭐	50%	65	Four-Seam FB	-3	44%
	51%	35	Slider	-6	20%
⭐⭐	60%	101	Changeup	0	18%
⭐⭐	56%	112	Knuckle-Curve	-94	17%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

⭐

51%

Fastball

45%

⭐⭐

29%

Breaking

-26

37%

⭐⭐

12%

Offspeed

18%

------------------

⭐

50%

Four-Seam FB

-3

44%

51%

Slider

-6

20%

⭐⭐

60%

101

Changeup

18%

⭐⭐

56%

112

Knuckle-Curve

-94

17%

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
⭐	68%	62	Bottom of zone	13	13%
	72%	36	Top of zone	-3	12%
	62%	40	Away / Arm Side	9	11%
	69%	45	In / Glove Side	-29	10%
	78%	22	Middle	-23	7%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

⭐

68%

Bottom of zone

13%

72%

Top of zone

-3

12%

62%

Away / Arm Side

11%

69%

In / Glove Side

-29

10%

78%

Middle

-23

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	40%	104	Below the zone	22	30%
⭐	46%	79	In / Glove Side	30	24%
⭐	38%	76	Above the zone	8	24%
	32%	27	Away / Arm Side	-3	22%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

40%

104

Below the zone

30%

⭐

46%

In / Glove Side

24%

⭐

38%

Above the zone

24%

32%

Away / Arm Side

-3

22%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
	29%	36	First Pitch	10	28%
⭐⭐	56%	107	Batter Behind	0	28%
⭐	60%	66	Batter Ahead	4	26%
⭐⭐	66%	104	2 Strikes	-23	26%
⭐⭐	69%	92	3 Balls	2	8%
⭐⭐	78%	94	Full Count	-9	4%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

29%

First Pitch

28%

⭐⭐

56%

107

Batter Behind

28%

⭐

60%

Batter Ahead

26%

⭐⭐

66%

104

2 Strikes

-23

26%

⭐⭐

69%

3 Balls

⭐⭐

78%

Full Count

-9