Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Alek Thomas

matchup for Jared Jones

out of 436 (Worst %)

Jared Jones

matchup for Alek Thomas

411st out of 567 (Worst 28%)

Leans in favor of Jones

Alek Thomas has a 30.3% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.4% lower than Thomas's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.3%	22.2%	2.2%	4.5%	15.5%	8.0%	23.7%
Thomas	-1.4	-2.2	+0.1	-0.1	-2.3	+0.8	+3.8
Jones	-0.8	+1.4	-0.8	-0.5	+2.7	-2.2	-4.9

Alek Thomas is better vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Thomas has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Alek Thomas has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Alek Thomas has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Alek Thomas has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

12.1% of Alek Thomas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -4.3% +0.4% 5%

Walk -2.5% +0.6% 37%

In Play +6.7% -1.1% 39%

On Base -0.4% -0.1% 31%

Hit +2.1% -0.8% 14%

Single +1.0% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B +1.3% -0.5% 3%

Home Run -0.1% +0.9%

45.2% of Alek Thomas's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 10.8% higher than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +10.8% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.9% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -1.3% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.2% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.2% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer -2.3% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -6.7% +1.5% 3%

Pop up -1.3% +2.5%

27.5% of Alek Thomas's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.2% higher than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.3% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.6% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.2% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.6% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +3.2% +0.4%

8.7% of Alek Thomas's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.7% lower than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%