matchup for Jake Irvin
matchup for Alek Thomas
7
Alek Thomas has a 34.6% chance of reaching base vs Jake Irvin, which is 2.8% higher than Thomas's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Irvin.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 34.6% | 27.4% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 20.2% | 7.2% | 16.7% |
| Thomas | +2.8 | +2.9 | +0.1 | +0.4 | +2.3 | 0.0 | -3.2 |
| Irvin | +0.7 | +3.0 | -1.0 | -0.4 | +4.3 | -2.3 | -3.3 |
Alek Thomas is better vs right-handed pitching. Jake Irvin is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Thomas has a B- grade vs this particular release point.
Jake Irvin throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Alek Thomas has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
36%
Curve (R)
31%
Sinker (R)
26%
10% of Jake Irvin's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Alek Thomas has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
10%
+2%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Mid Challenge
12%
+1%
Strong Challenge
6%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Meatball
6%
0%
Non-Competitive
12%
0%
Chaser
5%
-2%
Likely Ball
17%
-2%
17% of Jake Irvin's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 12% higher than the MLB average. Alek Thomas has a B grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Large Break
17%
+12%
Fastball (R)
65%
+11%
Fast Velo
26%
+11%
Large Drop
15%
+10%
12.1% of Alek Thomas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Jake Irvin strikes out 12.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Strikeout
-4.3%
-4.3%
5%
Walk
-2.5%
-0.5%
37%
In Play
+6.7%
+4.8%
39%
On Base
-0.4%
+1.3%
31%
Hit
+2.1%
+1.9%
14%
Single
+1.0%
+0.3%
13%
2B / 3B
+1.3%
+0.5%
3%
Home Run
-0.1%
+1.1%
45.2% of Alek Thomas's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 10.8% higher than the league average. Jake Irvin induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.1%
-0.2%
34%
Standard Grounder
+10.8%
+1.8%
7%
Hard Grounder
+1.9%
+1.1%
14%
Low Screamer
-1.3%
-1.6%
9%
Rising Liner
-0.2%
+3.0%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.2%
+2.1%
3%
Likely Homer
-2.3%
-0.7%
1%
No Doubter
-1.2%
+0.7%
20%
Routine Flyout
-6.7%
-4.9%
3%
Pop up
-1.3%
-1.5%
27.5% of Alek Thomas's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.2% higher than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by Jake Irvin are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+4.3%
-7.3%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-2.6%
+0.6%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-2.2%
-1.7%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-2.6%
+4.9%
24%
Above 100 mph
+3.2%
+3.6%
8.7% of Alek Thomas's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.7% lower than the league average. 9.7% of batted balls allowed by Jake Irvin are hit at this angle, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+11.7%
+1.5%
12%
-10 to 0°
+1.6%
+1.6%
8%
1 to 6°
+2.2%
+0.5%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.9%
+3.5%
15%
19 to 28°
-6.3%
+0.0%
11%
29 to 38°
-2.7%
-1.7%
7%
39 to 50°
-3.3%
-3.8%
8%
Above 50°
-2.3%
-1.6%
Alek Thomas has 2 plate appearances against Jake Irvin in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.069 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-06-22 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2023-06-22 | Groundout | 13% | 86% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
