Matchup Machine

Alek Thomas

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matchup for M. Rodriguez

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Manuel Rodriguez

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matchup for Alek Thomas

356th out of 567 (Worst 37%)

Leans in favor of Thomas
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Model Prediction

Alek Thomas has a 32.3% chance of reaching base vs Manuel Rodriguez, which is 0.7% higher than Thomas's typical expectations, and 1.0% higher than batters facing Rodriguez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.3%23.6%1.4%3.9%18.3%8.8%20.5%
Thomas+0.7-0.9-0.7-0.7+0.5+1.6+0.5
Rodriguez+1.0+2.2-0.6-0.7+3.5-1.2-3.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Alek Thomas is better vs right-handed pitching. Manuel Rodriguez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Thomas has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Manuel Rodriguez throws a Slider 39% of the time. Alek Thomas has an A- grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
39%
   Sinker (R)
38%
   4-Seam (R)
23%

Contact and Outcomes

12.1% of Alek Thomas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Manuel Rodriguez strikes out 16.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.3% -0.9% 5%         Walk -2.5% -0.7% 37%         In Play +6.7% +1.6% 39%         On Base -0.4% -3.4% 31%         Hit +2.1% -2.7% 14%         Single +1.0% -1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +1.3% -0.7% 3%         Home Run -0.1% -0.8%

History

No History in the last 3 years