matchup for Cal Quantrill
matchup for Alek Thomas
10
Alek Thomas has a 37.9% chance of reaching base vs Cal Quantrill, which is 6.1% higher than Thomas's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Quantrill.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 37.9% | 27.4% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 20.3% | 10.6% | 12.3% |
| Thomas | +6.1 | +2.8 | +0.1 | +0.3 | +2.4 | +3.3 | -7.7 |
| Quantrill | -1.0 | +2.5 | -1.2 | -0.8 | +4.5 | -3.6 | -3.6 |
Alek Thomas is better vs right-handed pitching. Cal Quantrill is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Thomas has an A- grade vs this particular release point.
Cal Quantrill throws a Sinker 41% of the time. Alek Thomas has a B- grade against right-handed Sinkers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Sinker (R)
41%
Cutter (R)
19%
Changeup (R)
10%
Splitter (R)
9%
Slider (R)
8%
Curve (R)
8%
4-Seam (R)
5%
11% of Cal Quantrill's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Alek Thomas has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
11%
+2%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Non-Competitive
13%
+0%
Likely Ball
19%
+0%
Meatball
6%
0%
Edge Painter
17%
0%
Mid Challenge
9%
-2%
Strong Challenge
3%
-2%
41% of Cal Quantrill's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Alek Thomas has a D grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Large Break
41%
+20%
Fastball (R)
64%
+11%
Medium Slow Velo
23%
+10%
Offspeed (R)
20%
+8%
Low Ride
32%
+8%
12.1% of Alek Thomas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Cal Quantrill strikes out 11.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Strikeout
-4.3%
-6.4%
5%
Walk
-2.5%
+0.9%
37%
In Play
+6.7%
+5.5%
39%
On Base
-0.4%
+4.1%
31%
Hit
+2.1%
+3.2%
14%
Single
+1.0%
+1.0%
13%
2B / 3B
+1.3%
+1.3%
3%
Home Run
-0.1%
+1.0%
45.3% of Alek Thomas's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 10.9% higher than the league average. Cal Quantrill induces Standard Grounders at a 36.6% rate, which is 2.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.1%
0.0%
34%
Standard Grounder
+10.9%
+2.2%
7%
Hard Grounder
+1.7%
-0.4%
14%
Low Screamer
-1.5%
-2.2%
9%
Rising Liner
-0.1%
+0.5%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.2%
-1.6%
3%
Likely Homer
-2.3%
-0.2%
1%
No Doubter
-1.2%
+1.1%
20%
Routine Flyout
-6.6%
-0.5%
3%
Pop up
-1.3%
+1.3%
27.5% of Alek Thomas's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.2% higher than the league average. 25.1% of batted balls allowed by Cal Quantrill are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+4.2%
-0.5%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-2.6%
+0.1%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-2.1%
+0.1%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-2.7%
-0.5%
24%
Above 100 mph
+3.2%
+0.8%
8.8% of Alek Thomas's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.7% lower than the league average. 13.3% of batted balls allowed by Cal Quantrill are hit at this angle, which is 1.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+11.7%
-1.0%
12%
-10 to 0°
+1.7%
+0.5%
8%
1 to 6°
+2.1%
+0.3%
18%
7 to 18°
-1.0%
+2.7%
15%
19 to 28°
-6.2%
-1.2%
11%
29 to 38°
-2.7%
+1.8%
7%
39 to 50°
-3.3%
-2.3%
8%
Above 50°
-2.3%
-0.9%
Alek Thomas has 5 plate appearances against Cal Quantrill in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with 2 strikeouts.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.200 |
| Expected From Contact → | 1.04 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1.03 | 0.207 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-03-29 | Groundout | 5% | 95% | ||
| 2024-03-29 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2022-08-01 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2022-08-01 | Lineout | 73% | 26% | ||
| 2022-08-01 | Single | 24% | 75% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
