Matchup Machine

Blaze Alexander

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matchup for Shelby Miller

1st out of 436 (Best 1%)

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Shelby Miller

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matchup for Blaze Alexander

426th out of 567 (Worst 25%)

Extreme advantage for Miller
9

Model Prediction

Blaze Alexander has a 23.4% chance of reaching base vs Shelby Miller, which is 3.2% lower than Alexander's typical expectations, and 5.8% lower than batters facing Miller.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction23.4%16.3%1.9%4.0%10.5%7.1%31.3%
Alexander-3.2-3.0+0.30.0-3.3-0.3+2.1
Miller-5.8-4.8-1.8-1.0-2.0-1.0+6.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Blaze Alexander is worse vs right-handed pitching. Shelby Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Alexander doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Shelby Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Blaze Alexander hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
56%
   Slider (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   Splitter (R)
9%
   Cutter (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

22.4% of Blaze Alexander's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.1% higher than the league average. Shelby Miller strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout +3.1% +0.3% 6%         Walk +0.3% +0.8% 55%         In Play -3.4% -1.1% 39%         On Base +3.4% -4.9% 31%         Hit +3.0% -5.7% 14%         Single +2.2% -3.1% 13%         2B / 3B +2.6% -2.8% 3%         Home Run -1.7% +0.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years