Matchup Machine

Leo Jimenez

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matchup for Logan Webb

216th out of 436 (Best 50%)

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Logan Webb

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matchup for Leo Jimenez

155th out of 567 (Best 28%)

Leans in favor of Jimenez
2

Model Prediction

Leo Jimenez has a 32.4% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 3.2% higher than Jimenez's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Webb.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.4%24.6%2.1%5.1%17.3%7.9%24.7%
Jimenez+3.2+4.0-0.7+0.7+4.1-0.8-4.2
Webb+0.2-0.2-0.3-0.1+0.2+0.4+2.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Leo Jimenez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Jimenez doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Leo Jimenez hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

24.3% of Leo Jimenez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout +6.0% -0.8% 6%         Walk -1.8% -2.4% 54%         In Play -4.2% +3.2% 39%         On Base -3.2% +1.6% 31%         Hit -1.4% +4.0% 14%         Single -0.6% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B -0.1% +2.8% 3%         Home Run -0.7% -1.3%

History

Leo Jimenez has 2 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221010000.500
Expected From Contact →1.190.170.990.040.597
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-10Lineout3%27%1%69%
2024-07-10Double14%72%2%12%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.