Matchup Machine

Leo Jimenez

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matchup for Seth Lugo

56th out of 436 (Best 14%)

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Seth Lugo

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matchup for Leo Jimenez

347th out of 567 (Worst 39%)

Moderate advantage for Lugo
4

Model Prediction

Leo Jimenez has a 29.3% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.1% higher than Jimenez's typical expectations, and 3.2% lower than batters facing Lugo.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.3%22.0%2.7%4.5%14.7%7.3%31.7%
Jimenez+0.1+1.4-0.1+0.1+1.4-1.4+2.8
Lugo-3.2-2.0-0.4-0.4-1.1-1.2+6.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Leo Jimenez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Jimenez doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Leo Jimenez hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
29%
   Curve (R)
28%
   Sinker (R)
17%
   Slider (R)
13%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

24.3% of Leo Jimenez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout +6.0% +0.8% 6%         Walk -1.8% -2.3% 54%         In Play -4.2% +1.4% 39%         On Base -3.2% -0.4% 31%         Hit -1.4% +1.9% 14%         Single -0.6% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B -0.1% +1.1% 3%         Home Run -0.7% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years