Matchup Machine

Leo Jimenez

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matchup for Aaron Nola

19th out of 436 (Best 5%)

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Aaron Nola

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matchup for Leo Jimenez

516th out of 567 (Worst 9%)

Strong advantage for Nola
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Model Prediction

Leo Jimenez has a 24.5% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 4.7% lower than Jimenez's typical expectations, and 4.9% lower than batters facing Nola.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction24.5%18.1%2.7%4.9%10.5%6.4%40.2%
Jimenez-4.7-2.4-0.1+0.4-2.8-2.3+11.4
Nola-4.9-4.2-0.2-1.4-2.6-0.7+9.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Leo Jimenez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Jimenez does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Leo Jimenez hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
20%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Cutter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

24.3% of Leo Jimenez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout +6.0% +6.3% 6%         Walk -1.8% -2.8% 54%         In Play -4.2% -3.5% 39%         On Base -3.2% -4.8% 31%         Hit -1.4% -2.0% 14%         Single -0.6% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -0.1% -0.7% 3%         Home Run -0.7% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years