Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Wilyer Abreu

matchup for Will Warren

333rd out of 436 (Worst 24%)

Will Warren

matchup for Wilyer Abreu

166th out of 567 (Best 30%)

Strong advantage for Abreu

Wilyer Abreu has a 35.2% chance of reaching base vs Will Warren, which is 3.4% higher than Abreu's typical expectations, and 1.6% higher than batters facing Warren.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.2%	19.5%	3.7%	5.2%	10.6%	15.7%	29.2%
Abreu	+3.4	-1.0	+0.1	+0.6	-1.7	+4.4	+1.6
Warren	+1.6	-2.4	+1.0	-0.2	-3.2	+4.0	+3.0

Wilyer Abreu is much better vs right-handed pitching. Will Warren is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Abreu has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Will Warren throws a Sinker 30% of the time. Wilyer Abreu has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

28%

Slider (R)

27%

Changeup (R)

10%

Cutter (R)

9% of Will Warren's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Wilyer Abreu hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 9%

+4%

Likely Ball 23%

+4%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Mid Challenge 8%

-3%

Meatball 2%

-4%

36% of Will Warren's pitches are classified as Small Drop, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Wilyer Abreu has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Drop 36%

+24%

Extreme Break 33%

+18%

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Fastball (R) 63%

+9%

16.1% of Wilyer Abreu's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Will Warren strikes out 20.6% of the batters he faces, which is 3.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.5% +3.0% 4%

Walk +1.8% +1.4% 41%

In Play -4.3% -4.3% 39%

On Base -1.0% -0.5% 31%

Hit -2.8% -1.8% 14%

Single -2.6% -1.9% 13%

2B / 3B -2.2% -1.5% 3%

Home Run +1.9% +1.6%

23.8% of Wilyer Abreu's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 10.6% lower than the league average. Will Warren induces Standard Grounders at a 33.7% rate, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.6% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -10.6% -0.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.8% -1.2% 14%

Low Screamer +1.9% -0.3% 9%

Rising Liner -1.7% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% -2.8% 3%

Likely Homer +0.0% +1.8% 1%

No Doubter +0.4% -0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout +5.2% +7.7% 3%

Pop up +1.0% -2.8%

33.8% of Wilyer Abreu's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.5% higher than the league average. 26.4% of batted balls allowed by Will Warren are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.0% -9.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.6% -5.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.1% +6.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.8% +6.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.5% +2.1%

15.1% of Wilyer Abreu's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.6% higher than the league average. 8.4% of batted balls allowed by Will Warren are hit at this angle, which is 3.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%