Matchup Machine

Wilyer Abreu

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matchup for Declan Cronin

397th out of 436 (Worst 9%)

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Declan Cronin

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matchup for Wilyer Abreu

145th out of 567 (Best 26%)

Strong advantage for Abreu
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Model Prediction

Wilyer Abreu has a 35.6% chance of reaching base vs Declan Cronin, which is 3.8% higher than Abreu's typical expectations, and 3.2% higher than batters facing Cronin.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.6%23.3%3.1%4.6%15.5%12.3%24.2%
Abreu+3.8+2.7-0.5+0.1+3.1+1.1-3.5
Cronin+3.2+0.1+0.9+0.1-0.9+3.1+0.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Wilyer Abreu is much better vs right-handed pitching. Declan Cronin is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Abreu has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Declan Cronin throws a Slider 52% of the time. Wilyer Abreu has an A+ grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
52%
   Sinker (R)
41%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

16.1% of Wilyer Abreu's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Declan Cronin strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.5% -0.3% 4%         Walk +1.8% -0.3% 41%         In Play -4.3% +0.5% 39%         On Base -1.0% +3.8% 31%         Hit -2.8% +4.0% 14%         Single -2.6% +2.7% 13%         2B / 3B -2.2% +3.1% 3%         Home Run +1.9% -1.7%

History

Wilyer Abreu has 1 plate appearance against Declan Cronin in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.020.000.020.000.024
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-02Flyout2%98%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.