Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Wilyer Abreu

matchup for Jared Jones

194th out of 436 (Best 45%)

Jared Jones

matchup for Wilyer Abreu

430th out of 567 (Worst 24%)

Leans in favor of Jones

Wilyer Abreu has a 30.1% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.7% lower than Abreu's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.1%	18.4%	3.9%	4.2%	10.3%	11.8%	34.4%
Abreu	-1.7	-2.2	+0.3	-0.4	-2.1	+0.5	+6.7
Jones	-1.0	-2.5	+1.0	-0.9	-2.6	+1.5	+5.8

Wilyer Abreu is much better vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Abreu has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Wilyer Abreu has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Wilyer Abreu has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Wilyer Abreu has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

16.1% of Wilyer Abreu's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.5% +0.4% 4%

Walk +1.8% +0.6% 41%

In Play -4.3% -1.1% 39%

On Base -1.0% -0.1% 31%

Hit -2.8% -0.8% 14%

Single -2.6% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -2.2% -0.5% 3%

Home Run +1.9% +0.9%

23.8% of Wilyer Abreu's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 10.6% lower than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.6% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -10.6% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.8% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer +1.9% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner -1.7% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer +0.0% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.4% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +5.2% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +1.0% +2.5%

33.8% of Wilyer Abreu's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.5% higher than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.0% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.6% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.1% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.8% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.5% +0.4%

15.1% of Wilyer Abreu's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.6% higher than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%