Matchup Machine

Wilyer Abreu

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

114th out of 436 (Best 27%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Wilyer Abreu

559th out of 567 (Worst 2%)

Extreme advantage for Crochet
9

Model Prediction

Wilyer Abreu has a 25.4% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 6.4% lower than Abreu's typical expectations, and 2.0% lower than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction25.4%18.1%2.7%4.0%11.5%7.3%42.2%
Abreu-6.4-2.4-1.0-0.6-0.9-4.0+14.5
Crochet-2.0-2.8+0.2-1.1-1.9+0.8+6.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Wilyer Abreu is much worse vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Abreu doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Wilyer Abreu hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

16.1% of Wilyer Abreu's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.5% +9.4% 4%         Walk +1.8% -1.3% 41%         In Play -4.3% -8.1% 39%         On Base -1.0% -3.9% 31%         Hit -2.8% -2.5% 14%         Single -2.6% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B -2.2% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +1.9% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years