Matchup Machine

Wilyer Abreu

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matchup for Kutter Crawford

228th out of 436 (Worst 48%)

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Kutter Crawford

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matchup for Wilyer Abreu

454th out of 567 (Worst 20%)

Moderate advantage for Crawford
3

Model Prediction

Wilyer Abreu has a 28.5% chance of reaching base vs Kutter Crawford, which is 3.3% lower than Abreu's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Crawford.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.5%17.3%3.3%4.0%9.9%11.2%27.7%
Abreu-3.3-3.3-0.3-0.5-2.4-0.10.0
Crawford+0.5-2.9+0.4-0.7-2.7+3.4+3.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Wilyer Abreu is much better vs right-handed pitching. Kutter Crawford is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Abreu has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Kutter Crawford throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Wilyer Abreu has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
37%
   Cutter (R)
31%
   Slider (R)
14%
   Kn-Curve (R)
6%
   Splitter (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

16.1% of Wilyer Abreu's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Kutter Crawford strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.5% +0.8% 4%         Walk +1.8% -0.9% 41%         In Play -4.3% +0.1% 39%         On Base -1.0% -4.5% 31%         Hit -2.8% -3.6% 14%         Single -2.6% -2.9% 13%         2B / 3B -2.2% -2.4% 3%         Home Run +1.9% +1.7%

History

No History in the last 3 years