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Wilyer Abreu

matchup for George Kirby

392nd out of 436 (Worst 10%)

George Kirby

matchup for Wilyer Abreu

250th out of 567 (Best 45%)

Moderate advantage for Abreu

Wilyer Abreu has a 30.9% chance of reaching base vs George Kirby, which is 0.9% lower than Abreu's typical expectations, and 2.7% higher than batters facing Kirby.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.9%	23.6%	3.7%	4.9%	15.0%	7.3%	22.4%
Abreu	-0.9	+3.0	+0.1	+0.3	+2.6	-3.9	-5.3
Kirby	+2.7	+0.9	+1.1	-0.3	+0.2	+1.8	+1.6

Wilyer Abreu is much better vs right-handed pitching. George Kirby is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Abreu has a D grade vs this particular release point.

George Kirby throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Wilyer Abreu has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

40%

Slider (R)

22%

Sinker (R)

19%

Curve (R)

Splitter (R)

12% of George Kirby's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Wilyer Abreu hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+3%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-3%

Non-Competitive 8%

-4%

26% of George Kirby's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Wilyer Abreu has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 26%

+18%

Medium Break 18%

+9%

16.1% of Wilyer Abreu's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. George Kirby strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.5% +0.5% 4%

Walk +1.8% -5.1% 41%

In Play -4.3% +4.6% 39%

On Base -1.0% -3.9% 31%

Hit -2.8% +1.2% 14%

Single -2.6% +0.5% 13%

2B / 3B -2.2% +0.8% 3%

Home Run +1.9% -0.1%

23.8% of Wilyer Abreu's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 10.6% lower than the league average. George Kirby induces Standard Grounders at a 36.4% rate, which is 2.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.6% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder -10.6% +2.0% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.8% +0.1% 14%

Low Screamer +1.9% -1.4% 9%

Rising Liner -1.7% -2.7% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% -0.9% 3%

Likely Homer +0.0% -0.6% 1%

No Doubter +0.4% -1.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +5.2% +3.1% 3%

Pop up +1.0% +2.1%

33.8% of Wilyer Abreu's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.5% higher than the league average. 22.6% of batted balls allowed by George Kirby are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.0% -4.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.6% +3.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.1% +2.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.8% +0.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.5% -1.7%

15.1% of Wilyer Abreu's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.6% higher than the league average. 12.5% of batted balls allowed by George Kirby are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -7.0% +2.1% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.2% +2.2% 8%

1 to 6° +3.9% -1.2% 18%

7 to 18° -0.7% -5.3% 15%

19 to 28° +1.2% -1.8% 11%

29 to 38° +3.6% +1.0% 7%

39 to 50° -0.3% +1.0% 8%

Above 50° +1.5% +1.9%

Wilyer Abreu has 3 plate appearances against George Kirby in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.88	0.00	0.02	0.86			0.292

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-31	Lineout			85%	15%
2024-07-31	Flyout				99%
2024-07-31	Pop Out			1%	98%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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