Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Wilyer Abreu

matchup for Trevor Rogers

204th out of 436 (Best 48%)

Trevor Rogers

matchup for Wilyer Abreu

178th out of 567 (Best 32%)

Strong advantage for Abreu

Wilyer Abreu has a 33.4% chance of reaching base vs Trevor Rogers, which is 1.6% higher than Abreu's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Rogers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.4%	23.1%	3.7%	5.0%	14.4%	10.3%	24.6%
Abreu	+1.6	+2.6	+0.1	+0.5	+2.0	-0.9	-3.1
Rogers	-0.6	-1.1	+1.0	-0.7	-1.4	+0.5	+4.9

Wilyer Abreu is much worse vs left-handed pitching. Trevor Rogers is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Abreu doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Trevor Rogers throws a 4-seam fastball 48% of the time. Wilyer Abreu hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

48%

Changeup (L)

26%

Slider (L)

18%

Sinker (L)

13% of Trevor Rogers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Wilyer Abreu has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

Likely Ball 19%

Weak Challenge 8%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

48% of Trevor Rogers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 26% higher than the MLB average. Wilyer Abreu hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 48%

+26%

Offspeed (L) 26%

+14%

Fast Velo 20%

+10%

Medium Ride 23%

+9%

16.1% of Wilyer Abreu's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Trevor Rogers strikes out 14.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.5% -0.4% 4%

Walk +1.8% +0.3% 41%

In Play -4.3% +0.2% 39%

On Base -1.0% +0.7% 31%

Hit -2.8% +0.4% 14%

Single -2.6% +0.4% 13%

2B / 3B -2.2% +0.8% 3%

Home Run +1.9% -0.8%

23.8% of Wilyer Abreu's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 10.6% lower than the league average. Trevor Rogers induces Standard Grounders at a 33.3% rate, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.6% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -10.6% -1.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.8% +2.9% 14%

Low Screamer +1.9% -0.2% 9%

Rising Liner -1.7% -0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% +0.9% 3%

Likely Homer +0.0% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter +0.4% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout +5.2% +0.2% 3%

Pop up +1.0% -0.9%

33.8% of Wilyer Abreu's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.5% higher than the league average. 28.8% of batted balls allowed by Trevor Rogers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.0% -1.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.6% -3.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.1% +1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.8% -0.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.5% +4.5%

15.1% of Wilyer Abreu's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.6% higher than the league average. 10.3% of batted balls allowed by Trevor Rogers are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%