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Wilyer Abreu

matchup for Ryder Ryan

388th out of 436 (Worst 11%)

Ryder Ryan

matchup for Wilyer Abreu

13th out of 567 (Best 3%)

Extreme advantage for Abreu

Wilyer Abreu has a 38.4% chance of reaching base vs Ryder Ryan, which is 6.6% higher than Abreu's typical expectations, and 2.6% higher than batters facing Ryan.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	38.4%	24.4%	4.3%	6.0%	14.1%	14.0%	20.9%
Abreu	+6.6	+3.8	+0.7	+1.4	+1.7	+2.8	-6.8
Ryan	+2.6	-0.9	+1.5	-0.6	-1.8	+3.5	+1.1

Wilyer Abreu is much better vs right-handed pitching. Ryder Ryan is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Abreu has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Ryder Ryan throws a Slider 44% of the time. Wilyer Abreu has an A+ grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

44%

Sinker (R)

40%

4-Seam (R)

16%

14% of Ryder Ryan's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Wilyer Abreu hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 14%

+6%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

42% of Ryder Ryan's pitches are classified as Small Drop, which is 30% higher than the MLB average. Wilyer Abreu has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Drop 42%

+30%

Extreme Break 41%

+27%

Fast Velo 31%

+16%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

16.1% of Wilyer Abreu's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Ryder Ryan strikes out 9.2% of the batters he faces, which is 8.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.5% -8.7% 4%

Walk +1.8% +1.3% 41%

In Play -4.3% +7.5% 39%

On Base -1.0% +5.5% 31%

Hit -2.8% +4.2% 14%

Single -2.6% +1.6% 13%

2B / 3B -2.2% +2.0% 3%

Home Run +1.9% +0.7%

23.8% of Wilyer Abreu's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 10.6% lower than the league average. Ryder Ryan induces Standard Grounders at a 29.4% rate, which is 5.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.6% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -10.6% -5.0% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.8% +2.8% 14%

Low Screamer +1.9% -0.5% 9%

Rising Liner -1.7% +0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% +0.4% 3%

Likely Homer +0.0% +0.3% 1%

No Doubter +0.4% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +5.2% -0.5% 3%

Pop up +1.0% +4.0%

33.8% of Wilyer Abreu's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.5% higher than the league average. 26.9% of batted balls allowed by Ryder Ryan are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.0% -1.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.6% -1.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.1% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.8% +1.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.5% +2.6%

15.1% of Wilyer Abreu's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.6% higher than the league average. 10.0% of batted balls allowed by Ryder Ryan are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -7.0% -5.2% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.2% -1.1% 8%

1 to 6° +3.9% +1.2% 18%

7 to 18° -0.7% -1.2% 15%

19 to 28° +1.2% -0.4% 11%

29 to 38° +3.6% -1.4% 7%

39 to 50° -0.3% +5.7% 8%

Above 50° +1.5% +2.5%

Wilyer Abreu has 1 plate appearance against Ryder Ryan in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1.000
Expected From Contact →			0.63	0.00	0.06	0.57			0.634

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-04-21	Single		6%	57%	37%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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