Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Wilyer Abreu

matchup for Jalen Beeks

162nd out of 436 (Best 38%)

Jalen Beeks

matchup for Wilyer Abreu

260th out of 567 (Best 47%)

Moderate advantage for Abreu

Wilyer Abreu has a 33.0% chance of reaching base vs Jalen Beeks, which is 1.2% higher than Abreu's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Beeks.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.0%	21.2%	3.0%	3.9%	14.2%	11.9%	23.1%
Abreu	+1.2	+0.6	-0.6	-0.7	+1.9	+0.6	-4.6
Beeks	-0.4	-3.0	+0.5	-1.0	-2.5	+2.5	+4.7

Wilyer Abreu is much worse vs left-handed pitching. Jalen Beeks is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Abreu has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Jalen Beeks throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Wilyer Abreu hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

47%

Changeup (L)

34%

Cutter (L)

11%

Curve (L)

14% of Jalen Beeks's pitches are classified as Non-Competitive, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Wilyer Abreu has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-1%

34% of Jalen Beeks's pitches are classified as Offspeed Pitches, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Wilyer Abreu hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Offspeed (L) 34%

+21%

Medium Slow Velo 24%

+10%

Medium Break 29%

+10%

16.1% of Wilyer Abreu's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Jalen Beeks strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.5% -2.5% 4%

Walk +1.8% -0.1% 41%

In Play -4.3% +2.6% 39%

On Base -1.0% +0.4% 31%

Hit -2.8% +0.5% 14%

Single -2.6% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B -2.2% +1.0% 3%

Home Run +1.9% -1.3%

23.8% of Wilyer Abreu's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 10.6% lower than the league average. Jalen Beeks induces Standard Grounders at a 40.8% rate, which is 6.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.6% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -10.6% +6.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.8% -1.8% 14%

Low Screamer +1.9% +0.7% 9%

Rising Liner -1.7% -1.1% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% -0.8% 3%

Likely Homer +0.0% -0.3% 1%

No Doubter +0.4% -0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout +5.2% -4.1% 3%

Pop up +1.0% +1.4%

33.8% of Wilyer Abreu's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.5% higher than the league average. 20.7% of batted balls allowed by Jalen Beeks are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.0% +3.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.6% +4.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.1% -1.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.8% -2.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.5% -3.6%

15.1% of Wilyer Abreu's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.6% higher than the league average. 8.6% of batted balls allowed by Jalen Beeks are hit at this angle, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%