Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Wilyer Abreu

matchup for Carlos Rodon

172nd out of 436 (Best 40%)

Carlos Rodon

matchup for Wilyer Abreu

535th out of 567 (Worst 6%)

Strong advantage for Rodon

Wilyer Abreu has a 27.5% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Rodon, which is 4.4% lower than Abreu's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Rodon.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.5%	17.0%	3.6%	2.9%	10.4%	10.5%	40.1%
Abreu	-4.4	-3.6	0.0	-1.6	-1.9	-0.8	+12.4
Rodon	-1.2	-3.4	+0.7	-1.1	-3.0	+2.2	+5.8

Wilyer Abreu is much worse vs left-handed pitching. Carlos Rodon is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Abreu doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Carlos Rodon throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Wilyer Abreu hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

56%

Slider (L)

28%

Changeup (L)

Curve (L)

14% of Carlos Rodon's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Wilyer Abreu has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 8%

+2%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 7%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-3%

41% of Carlos Rodon's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Wilyer Abreu hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 41%

+22%

High Ride 32%

+22%

Very Fast Velo 19%

+16%

16.1% of Wilyer Abreu's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Carlos Rodon strikes out 19.6% of the batters he faces, which is 5.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.5% +5.5% 4%

Walk +1.8% +0.2% 41%

In Play -4.3% -5.7% 39%

On Base -1.0% -2.4% 31%

Hit -2.8% -2.6% 14%

Single -2.6% -1.6% 13%

2B / 3B -2.2% -1.5% 3%

Home Run +1.9% +0.5%

23.8% of Wilyer Abreu's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 10.6% lower than the league average. Carlos Rodon induces Standard Grounders at a 29.3% rate, which is 5.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.6% +0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder -10.6% -5.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.8% +0.2% 14%

Low Screamer +1.9% +2.3% 9%

Rising Liner -1.7% -0.7% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% -1.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.0% +0.6% 1%

No Doubter +0.4% +1.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +5.2% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +1.0% +0.7%

33.8% of Wilyer Abreu's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.5% higher than the league average. 25.7% of batted balls allowed by Carlos Rodon are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.0% -3.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.6% +1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.1% -0.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.8% +0.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.5% +1.4%

15.1% of Wilyer Abreu's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.6% higher than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Carlos Rodon are hit at this angle, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%