Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Wilyer Abreu

matchup for Aaron Nola

75th out of 436 (Best 18%)

Aaron Nola

matchup for Wilyer Abreu

517th out of 567 (Worst 9%)

Strong advantage for Nola

Wilyer Abreu has a 26.8% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 5.0% lower than Abreu's typical expectations, and 2.7% lower than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	26.8%	18.3%	3.4%	5.0%	9.9%	8.5%	38.4%
Abreu	-5.0	-2.3	-0.2	+0.4	-2.5	-2.8	+10.7
Nola	-2.7	-4.1	+0.4	-1.3	-3.3	+1.4	+7.5

Wilyer Abreu is much better vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Abreu has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Wilyer Abreu hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Wilyer Abreu hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Wilyer Abreu hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

16.1% of Wilyer Abreu's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.5% +6.3% 4%

Walk +1.8% -2.8% 41%

In Play -4.3% -3.5% 39%

On Base -1.0% -4.8% 31%

Hit -2.8% -2.0% 14%

Single -2.6% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -2.2% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +1.9% -0.5%

23.8% of Wilyer Abreu's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 10.6% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.6% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -10.6% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.8% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer +1.9% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner -1.7% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.0% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.4% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +5.2% -0.4% 3%

Pop up +1.0% -0.7%

33.8% of Wilyer Abreu's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.5% higher than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.0% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.6% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.1% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.8% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.5% -0.7%

15.1% of Wilyer Abreu's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.6% higher than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%