Matchup Machine

Wilyer Abreu

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

112th out of 436 (Best 26%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Wilyer Abreu

312th out of 567 (Worst 45%)

Leans in favor of Abreu
2

Model Prediction

Wilyer Abreu has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 0.2% higher than Abreu's typical expectations, and 1.7% lower than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.0%18.5%3.3%4.0%11.2%13.5%25.9%
Abreu+0.2-2.0-0.3-0.6-1.2+2.3-1.7
Anderson-1.7-3.8+0.4-1.2-3.0+2.1+4.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Wilyer Abreu is much worse vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Abreu doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Wilyer Abreu hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

16.1% of Wilyer Abreu's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.5% -1.9% 4%         Walk +1.8% -1.0% 41%         In Play -4.3% +2.9% 39%         On Base -1.0% -0.1% 31%         Hit -2.8% +0.9% 14%         Single -2.6% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -2.2% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +1.9% -0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years