Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ezequiel Duran

matchup for Will Warren

73rd out of 436 (Best 18%)

Will Warren

matchup for Ezequiel Duran

257th out of 567 (Best 46%)

Leans in favor of Warren

Ezequiel Duran has a 29.7% chance of reaching base vs Will Warren, which is 1.5% higher than Duran's typical expectations, and 3.8% lower than batters facing Warren.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.7%	22.7%	2.0%	5.6%	15.1%	7.0%	25.9%
Duran	+1.5	-0.1	-0.1	+0.1	-0.2	+1.6	+1.3
Warren	-3.8	+0.7	-0.8	+0.2	+1.3	-4.6	-0.4

Ezequiel Duran is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Will Warren is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Duran has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Will Warren throws a Sinker 30% of the time. Ezequiel Duran has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

28%

Slider (R)

27%

Changeup (R)

10%

Cutter (R)

9% of Will Warren's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Ezequiel Duran hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 9%

+4%

Likely Ball 23%

+4%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Mid Challenge 8%

-3%

Meatball 2%

-4%

36% of Will Warren's pitches are classified as Small Drop, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Ezequiel Duran has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Drop 36%

+24%

Extreme Break 33%

+18%

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Fastball (R) 63%

+9%

14.9% of Ezequiel Duran's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. Will Warren strikes out 20.6% of the batters he faces, which is 3.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.5% +3.0% 5%

Walk -2.8% +1.4% 39%

In Play +2.3% -4.3% 39%

On Base -3.4% -0.5% 31%

Hit -0.5% -1.8% 14%

Single +0.3% -1.9% 13%

2B / 3B +0.6% -1.5% 3%

Home Run -1.5% +1.6%

32.0% of Ezequiel Duran's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.4% lower than the league average. Will Warren induces Standard Grounders at a 33.7% rate, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.8% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.4% -0.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.6% -1.2% 14%

Low Screamer +1.6% -0.3% 9%

Rising Liner -3.0% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.4% -2.8% 3%

Likely Homer -0.3% +1.8% 1%

No Doubter +0.9% -0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.7% +7.7% 3%

Pop up +3.9% -2.8%

29.4% of Ezequiel Duran's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.1% higher than the league average. 26.4% of batted balls allowed by Will Warren are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.4% -9.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph +4.9% -5.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -5.0% +6.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.7% +6.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.1% +2.1%

10.9% of Ezequiel Duran's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 8.4% of batted balls allowed by Will Warren are hit at this angle, which is 3.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%