Matchup Machine

Ezequiel Duran

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matchup for Jose Marte

82nd out of 436 (Best 20%)

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Jose Marte

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matchup for Ezequiel Duran

50th out of 567 (Best 10%)

Moderate advantage for Duran
5

Model Prediction

Ezequiel Duran has a 33.9% chance of reaching base vs Jose Marte, which is 5.7% higher than Duran's typical expectations, and 3.3% lower than batters facing Marte.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.9%26.1%1.6%5.9%18.6%7.8%19.5%
Duran+5.7+3.3-0.5+0.4+3.4+2.4-5.1
Marte-3.3+2.2-0.7+0.5+2.5-5.6-0.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Ezequiel Duran is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Jose Marte is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Duran has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jose Marte throws a Cutter 31% of the time. Ezequiel Duran hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
31%
   4-Seam (R)
29%
   Sinker (R)
25%
   Slider (R)
7%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

14.9% of Ezequiel Duran's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. Jose Marte strikes out 11.0% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.5% -6.3% 5%         Walk -2.8% +9.0% 39%         In Play +2.3% -2.7% 39%         On Base -3.4% +11.7% 31%         Hit -0.5% +2.7% 14%         Single +0.3% +1.3% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% +1.7% 3%         Home Run -1.5% -0.3%

History

Ezequiel Duran has 1 plate appearance against Jose Marte in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.040.000.040.000.044
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-09-26Flyout4%96%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.