Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ezequiel Duran

matchup for Logan Allen

94th out of 436 (Best 22%)

Logan Allen

matchup for Ezequiel Duran

33rd out of 567 (Best 7%)

Strong advantage for Duran

Ezequiel Duran has a 33.2% chance of reaching base vs Logan Allen, which is 5.0% higher than Duran's typical expectations, and 1.8% lower than batters facing Allen.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.2%	27.6%	2.0%	5.8%	19.8%	5.6%	16.9%
Duran	+5.0	+4.8	-0.1	+0.4	+4.5	+0.2	-7.7
Allen	-1.8	+1.6	-0.9	0.0	+2.5	-3.4	-0.7

Ezequiel Duran is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Logan Allen is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Duran has an F grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Allen throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Ezequiel Duran has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

38%

Slider (L)

28%

Changeup (L)

14%

Curve (L)

Cutter (L)

21% of Logan Allen's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Ezequiel Duran has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Weak Challenge 8%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

33% of Logan Allen's pitches are classified as Very Slow Velocity, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Ezequiel Duran has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Slow Velo 33%

+17%

Medium Break 33%

+14%

Medium Ride 22%

+8%

14.9% of Ezequiel Duran's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. Logan Allen strikes out 12.8% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.5% -2.6% 5%

Walk -2.8% +1.3% 39%

In Play +2.3% +1.3% 39%

On Base -3.4% +6.7% 31%

Hit -0.5% +5.4% 14%

Single +0.3% +2.7% 13%

2B / 3B +0.6% +3.1% 3%

Home Run -1.5% -0.5%

32.0% of Ezequiel Duran's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.4% lower than the league average. Logan Allen induces Standard Grounders at a 35.1% rate, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.8% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.4% +0.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.6% +0.5% 14%

Low Screamer +1.6% -2.6% 9%

Rising Liner -3.0% +3.9% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.4% -0.9% 3%

Likely Homer -0.3% -0.9% 1%

No Doubter +0.9% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.7% +0.0% 3%

Pop up +3.9% -0.7%

29.4% of Ezequiel Duran's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.1% higher than the league average. 27.0% of batted balls allowed by Logan Allen are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.4% -3.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +4.9% +1.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph -5.0% +1.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.7% -2.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.1% +2.7%

10.9% of Ezequiel Duran's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 10.5% of batted balls allowed by Logan Allen are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%