Matchup Machine

Ezequiel Duran

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matchup for Michael Wacha

91st out of 436 (Best 22%)

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Michael Wacha

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matchup for Ezequiel Duran

254th out of 567 (Best 46%)

Leans in favor of Wacha
2

Model Prediction

Ezequiel Duran has a 28.3% chance of reaching base vs Michael Wacha, which is 0.1% higher than Duran's typical expectations, and 2.8% lower than batters facing Wacha.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.3%23.6%2.0%5.8%15.9%4.7%20.7%
Duran+0.1+0.8-0.1+0.3+0.6-0.7-3.8
Wacha-2.8+0.5-0.8+0.7+0.6-3.3-0.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Ezequiel Duran is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Michael Wacha is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Duran has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Michael Wacha throws a Changeup 32% of the time. Ezequiel Duran hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Changeup (R)
32%
   4-Seam (R)
31%
   Cutter (R)
17%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

14.9% of Ezequiel Duran's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. Michael Wacha strikes out 16.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.5% +0.4% 5%         Walk -2.8% -2.0% 39%         In Play +2.3% +1.5% 39%         On Base -3.4% -3.0% 31%         Hit -0.5% -1.0% 14%         Single +0.3% -0.6% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -1.5% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years