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Ezequiel Duran

matchup for Tyler Anderson

40th out of 436 (Best 10%)

Tyler Anderson

matchup for Ezequiel Duran

259th out of 567 (Best 47%)

Leans in favor of Anderson

Ezequiel Duran has a 28.5% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 0.3% higher than Duran's typical expectations, and 5.2% lower than batters facing Anderson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.5%	21.9%	2.4%	5.4%	14.2%	6.6%	23.2%
Duran	+0.3	-0.9	+0.3	-0.1	-1.1	+1.2	-1.4
Anderson	-5.2	-0.3	-0.6	+0.2	+0.1	-4.9	+1.6

Ezequiel Duran is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Duran has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Ezequiel Duran has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

38%

Changeup (L)

32%

Cutter (L)

22%

Sinker (L)

7% of Tyler Anderson's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Ezequiel Duran hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 7%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 7%

-2%

32% of Tyler Anderson's pitches are classified as Offspeed Pitches, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Ezequiel Duran hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Offspeed (L) 32%

+19%

Low Ride 40%

+17%

Fastball (L) 67%

+12%

Extreme Slow Velo 20%

+11%

Large Break 31%

+9%

14.9% of Ezequiel Duran's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.5% -1.9% 5%

Walk -2.8% -1.0% 39%

In Play +2.3% +2.9% 39%

On Base -3.4% -0.1% 31%

Hit -0.5% +0.9% 14%

Single +0.3% +0.5% 13%

2B / 3B +0.6% +0.6% 3%

Home Run -1.5% -0.2%

32.0% of Ezequiel Duran's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.4% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson induces Standard Grounders at a 30.6% rate, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.8% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.4% -3.8% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.6% -1.8% 14%

Low Screamer +1.6% +1.6% 9%

Rising Liner -3.0% +1.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.4% -0.2% 3%

Likely Homer -0.3% +0.2% 1%

No Doubter +0.9% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.7% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +3.9% +1.9%

29.4% of Ezequiel Duran's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.1% higher than the league average. 23.0% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Anderson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.4% +2.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +4.9% +0.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -5.0% +1.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.7% -2.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.1% -1.3%

10.9% of Ezequiel Duran's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 11.7% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Anderson are hit at this angle, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +2.4% -3.6% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.4% -1.6% 8%

1 to 6° -1.5% +0.2% 18%

7 to 18° -1.0% +1.2% 15%

19 to 28° -4.5% +0.1% 11%

29 to 38° -0.6% +0.3% 7%

39 to 50° -1.5% +0.6% 8%

Above 50° +6.3% +2.8%

Ezequiel Duran has 11 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 11 with a home run and a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	11	11	2	1	1	0	3	0	0.182
Expected From Contact →			2.42	0.99	0.87	0.56			0.220

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-07	Flyout				100%
2024-09-07	Double		61%	26%	13%
2024-05-17	Groundout			12%	88%
2024-05-17	Strikeout
2024-05-17	Flyout		3%	7%	90%
2023-06-12	Strikeout
2023-06-12	Home Run	97%			2%
2023-06-12	Strikeout
2023-05-05	Lineout		19%	11%	70%
2023-05-05	Hit By Pitch
2023-05-05	Flyout	2%	3%		95%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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